Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 7 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 31 May 2026 at 22:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 32 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 2 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 5 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 31 at 4:43PM CDT until May 31 at 5:15PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY
An estimated 17,266 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 15 March 2026
- July 11, 2026 · score 34 · 3.9 km
- September 6, 2026 · score 28 · 9.8 km
- July 4, 2026 · score 34 · 14.6 km
How we know
Confirmed by 7 independent sources, including NOAA.
Our own score for this event is 40 out of 100, at 88 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | High |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 40 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 88% |
| Coordinates | 36.7971, -90.1906 |
| Nearest City | Poplar Bluff (18 km) |
| Population Exposed | 17.3K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-05-31T21:43:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0260d9e7bac8dd255969022197bd99a1 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Butler, MO; Ripley, MO; Carter, MO; Butler, MO; Stoddard, MO and 1 more areas |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued May 31 at 4:43PM CDT until May 31 at 5:15PM CDT by NWS Paducah KY |
| Expires | 2026-05-31T17:15:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Paducah KY |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 4 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0260d9e7bac8dd255969022197bd99a1625a4960.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0260d9e7bac8dd255969022197bd99a1625a4960.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d3e1aa7d0dd6800e58a4e1681457dc760e641c45.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.656732b58de738f54be02374cd614dabc121fa0c.002.1"] |
| Spc ReportType | hail |
| Spc Speed | 100 |
| Spc Location | 1 ENE Dexter |
| Spc County | Stoddard |
| Spc State | MO |
| Spc Comments | (PAH) |
| MergedSources | [{"id":"spc_wind_37.20_-90.46_10","source":"spc","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1780258920000,"latitude":37.2,"longitude":-90.46},{"id":"spc_wind_37.40_-89.99_12","source":"spc","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1780259340000,"latitude":37.4,"longitude":-89.99},{"id":"spc_wind_37.31_-89.68_13","source":"spc","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1780259940000,"latitude":37.31,"longitude":-89.68},{"id":"spc_wind_37.21_-89.74_14","source":"spc","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1780260540000,"latitude":37.21,"longitude":-89.74},{"id":"spc_wind_37.23_-89.58_15","source":"spc","severity":"medium","severityValue":45,"timestamp":1780260780000,"latitude":37.23,"longitude":-89.58},{"id":"spc_hail_36.79_-89.95_18","source":"spc","severity":"high","severityValue":65,"timestamp":1780262520000,"latitude":36.79,"longitude":-89.95}] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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